Euro Stopped declining as ECB President Spoke in Frankfurt

By: Eddy Peng Apr 5, 2017
Euro failed to downgrade further and became flat in these two days against U.S. dollar after a dramatic drop last week from the breakout point. It changed little yesterday on Tuesday but with a long lower shadow to test the lower support, turning back to stand on the MA60 and then closing at 1.06719. This long lower shadow revealed that the bulls overwhelmed the bears at the moment, and today’s positive performance shows the bulls back onto the driver side of the market. Current movements of EUR/USD find support on the MA60 right after the sharp decrease amid the well-performed GDP of U.S. released last week which partially led to the strong rally of USD. As can be seen at chart 1, the value of Euro is growing gradually on the whole with following the uptrending equidistant channel, the lower range of which could be seen as another support level if Euro breakouts the support of MA60. ACY-EURUSD-Daily-050417 Euro Stopped declining as ECB President Spoke in Frankfurt

Chart 1: EURUSD Daily

Euro-area unemployment fell to the lowest level in almost eight years in February, in a sign that the region’s economy is strengthening. Joblessness has been decreasing steadily to 9.5 percent from a peak of more than 12 percent in 2013 as the European Central Bank deployed unprecedented stimulus to rekindle growth and fuel inflation. Euro-area factory growth accelerated in March, climbing to the highest level since 2011, as an improving global economy boosted export demand in the region’s biggest economies. ECB President Mario Draghi, who has repeatedly urged governments to implement reforms to reduce structural unemployment and boost growth potential, said the recent decline shows the success of the central bank’s 2.28 trillion-euro ($2.4 trillion) stimulus plan. The second French election campaign debate, lasting four hours, will be held today. This TV election debate includes three main topics, which are about how to create more job opportunity, how to protect and enhance security of France and how to achieve the expected social model that makes France better. The Elabe conducted a public opinion poll which showed that the Socialist Party candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon temporarily ranks first, while the right-wing presidential candidate Marine Le Pen lost some supporters, ranking the fourth (11%). However, the potential Frexit has been threatening the Euro-area economy and its prospects. The Euro-zone retail sales of February released yesterday was set to be 1.8 percent, beating the forecast of 1.0 percent. An increasing number of sales signals consumer confidence and economic growth, fuelling a further rally of Euro. According to the daily chart of US Index showed at MT4, there is a resistance range MA60 found above the current position, giving hurdles along the road to momentum maintenance. If it fails to break out, traders may look for short position in U.S. dollar. ACY-US-Index-Daily-050417 Euro Stopped declining as ECB President Spoke in Frankfurt

Chart 2: US Index Daily

 
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